Within the world of trading one would have an expectation that rationality was a key underlying feature in not only the decisions we made, but also the underlying philosophy that guided market participants in general. As a poor example of this expectation that markets are rational and therefore predictable consider this somewhat inane little puff…
CONJURE up an image of a financial risk-taker, and you’ll probably picture an aggressive Wall Street trader, testosterone surging as he closes the deal. But new research suggests that people with low levels of the male sex hormone are also likely to take financial risks. Previous studies have linked high levels of testosterone to certain…
CONJURE up an image of a financial risk-taker, and you’ll probably picture an aggressive Wall Street trader, testosterone surging as he closes the deal. But new research suggests that people with low levels of the male sex hormone are also likely to take financial risks. Previous studies have linked high levels of testosterone to certain…
This is an interesting article from Wired the science mag. Although looking at the only graphic in the article I am not certain their metric is doing what the article claims that it is capable of doing. If you look at the graphic it began its move towards zero (the crash zone) in 2003 and…
In the past few weeks we have seen the market move between some fairly extreme ranges. The 15 day Average True Range of the S&P ASX 200 has moved from 35 points at the beginning of March to 56 points – this is a 64% increase in volatility inside 20 trading days. This movement presents…
Have you ever fired up the Google box for the purposes of finding something pertinent and relevant to your next task only to find yourself four hours later amazed by your new found knowledge that a crocodile cannot stick out its tongue or that there is no Betty Rubble in The Flintstones chewable vitamins. Seeking…
Have you ever fired up the Google box for the purposes of finding something pertinent and relevant to your next task only to find yourself four hours later amazed by your new found knowledge that a crocodile cannot stick out its tongue or that there is no Betty Rubble in The Flintstones chewable vitamins. Seeking…
Following on from the posting on why fund managers fail to generate positive alpha . I thought I would look at the notion of cognitive blindness and emotional overconfidence within the domain of prediction. This was prompted by set of predictions I came across for this year by a group known as Bespoke who have produced a…
Following on from the posting on why fund managers fail to generate positive alpha . I thought I would look at the notion of cognitive blindness and emotional overconfidence within the domain of prediction. This was prompted by set of predictions I came across for this year by a group known as Bespoke who have…
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