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Category Archives: History and Science

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John Arnold Made a Fortune at Enron. Now He’s Declared War on Bad Science

Health and Fitness, History and ScienceBy Chris TateJanuary 25, 2017

Brian Nosek had pretty much given up on finding a funder. For two years he had sent out grant proposals for his software project. And for two years they had been rejected again and again—which was, by 2011, discouraging but not all that surprising to the 38-year-old scientist. An associate professor at the University of…

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Looking For The Next Amazon

Charting, History and Science, International MarketsBy Chris TateJanuary 6, 2017

I came across this piece the other day. It is a good bit of work because it highlights neatly the interplay between returns, risk and drawdown. This triumvirate holds sway over the trajectory of our investing but it is continually ignored by most, as all traders in some way shape or form seek the biggest…

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Pigeons, Humans, and the Monty Hall Dilemma

Get Your Shit Together, History and ScienceBy Chris TateJanuary 6, 20173 Comments

WTF?……. The Monty Hall Dilemma is a probability puzzle that is notorious for eliciting suboptimal decisions from humans. A participant is given a choice from among three doors, one of which conceals a valuable prize. After an initial selection, one of the remaining, nonwinning doors is opened, and the participant is given a chance to…

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The Economy’s Hidden Problem: We’re Out of Big Ideas

History and ScienceBy Chris TateDecember 8, 20161 Comment

By all appearances, we’re in a golden age of innovation. Every month sees new advances in artificial intelligence, gene therapy, robotics and software apps. Research and development as a share of gross domestic product is near an all-time high. There are more scientists and engineers in the U.S. than ever before. None of this has…

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Statistics And Other Things

History and ScienceBy Chris TateDecember 6, 20162 Comments

Last week LB spoke at the Young AICC in what was a fairly polite look at shares versus property. You can tell by the fact that I used the world polite that I obviously wasn’t speaking. After the event there were a few things I pondered on the way home. The first was my observation…

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Ten Minutes With Tate – One Month In

Australian Markets, Commodities, History and Science, International MarketsBy Chris TateDecember 5, 20162 Comments

 

And Before We Gloat

History and ScienceBy Chris TateNovember 28, 20161 Comment

About how good things have been consider this months top 10 performing global indices. The most impressive gain has been  by the major Venezuelan index which is up an astonishing 99% – which is not bad for a country that is going down the gurgler.

40 Years Ago

Aspiration, History and ScienceBy Chris TateNovember 28, 2016

Just to make you feel a little older….    

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Meet The Man Who Made Millions Trading Mules

History and ScienceBy Chris TateNovember 24, 20161 Comment

A little bit of market history…. This week we’re thinking about what it means to be a trader in today’s electronified markets and contrast it with trading in the era of horse and buggies. That’s right, we’re going back in time to talk mule trading and the story of the legendary Ray Lum, who spent…

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