Here is an example of why geopolitical events are hard to trade even when you get a strong signal. I exited with a small loss which is the name of the game because it keeps you in the game. From an anecdotal perspective, I do find crude harder to trade than back in the day.…
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When sentiment changes it can change very quickly. This and the related Hang Seng are strong examples of how a ballistic climb is unsustainable and will reverse suddenly.
These are not the magnificent seven you might be thinking of; rather, I look at what the seven largest lithium stocks in the world are telling us.
The constantly evolving nature of markets makes them trade generating factories for those who can spot the change as it is occurring. However, spotting change is harder than it would seem if you rely upon the wrong basis for comparison and don’t understand that markets are also quite nuanced.
Whilst sitting in my local having my usual toast and vegemite following training I was listening to a podcast that touched on the fact that in the UK a huge number of people who might be entitled to government benefits didn’t apply for them. Recognising that people might not be aware of these benefits the…
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This is a little follow-up to my last video about how data is presented to us and how we interpret it. The following chart is yet another one doing the rounds which is supposed to imply something and in turn, cause people to act. What the chart shows is that the S&P Commodity Index relative…
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The snip below is of last night’s trading in the US along with a headline. As you can see there is a little bit of handwringing going on. The onset of September has caused a variation of the following graph of monthly returns on the S&P500 to appear on various platforms. It shows that contrary…
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In trading, there is always friction, and each incidence drags on your returns. The friction may come from simple things such as the fees you pay for your trading not being justified by your results. Alternatively, it can be that you take suboptimal trades instead of taking trades that reflect your rules. This one is…
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All too often traders assume that noise is data this was precisely the case last week when it seemed to all that the world was ending. In fact, we got something that wasn’t that far from the ordinary. <center.
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