When I was banging on about EFT’s last week I made the point in passing that when you are looking at trading systems that the start date is everything and it is the point at which most of the fudging of results occurs. As an example I took a hypothetical passive system and began to…
I came across this piece this morning. It claims that traders are taking up huge short sale positions in Tesla and they are paying a hefty penny in fees for the privilege of doing so. There are a few points in this that interested me. Whenever a financial journalist claims something is happening it is…
One of the mechanisms by which I have learnt to deal with the vicissitudes of the market is to believe that they are actually very generous and that they will tell me everything I need to know if I just listen. When I have gone back and reviewed errors in judgement I have made as…
With the EOFY it was time to fire up excel and play with some stock returns. I took the S&P/ASX 50 and decided to see how each stock had fared during the year, this gave me the table below which I have sorted on the basis of highest to lowest. In terms of observations about…
My junk email folder is a magnet what I would call examples of shit market analysis. For reasons unknown to me several times a week I get emails detailing a given point of analysis on either the entire market or a given instrument. What interests me about the analysis I receive is how irrelevant they…
I wrote a little while ago about the need to be aware of the history of markets and their propensity to go nowhere for significant periods of time. This sort of saga is unfolding in the US with their markets making no real gain for some 18 months. The US seems to be range bound…
I am in no way a fundamental analyst – in fact as a skill set for investing I regard it as irrelevant and an example of being seduced by your own narrative fallacy. However, I am in business and I am intrigued as to why some businesses stall, whither and die. I came across the…
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