One of the most interesting parts of trading is the role of the human brain as an interface between you and the market. Having a complex filtering mechanism that is the repository of all your emotions sitting between you and the raw sources of information you need presents a complication. Consider the image below. This…
It would appear they are very stupid – but then that’s probably not a surprise to anyone. The always entertaining Dr Sabine Hossenfelder points out why. Her channel is well worth subscribing to if for the sole purpose of enjoying her blisteringly sharp intellect mixed with her uniquely German sense of humour.
Once again the world seems a slightly more chaotic place with the Middle East being the current flashpoint for stupidity. And once again markets do something interesting.
This follows from the chart of hedge fund earners I posted here. Where possible I have matched the salaries to the performance of their funds I then matched this to the performance of the S&P500 Total Return Index. I used the S&P500TR Index because it is the most widely used benchmark in the industry. Where…
Who would have guessed that lazy politicians, a lack of vision, and greedy rent seekers were a universal issue?
Following on from my latest video I did a bit more digging and found some convenient data on hedge fund returns and the salaries of the top hedge fund earners according to Bloomberg The chart below is composite data from the Barclays hedge fund index which looks at the returns of 1781 reporting hedge funds.…
On this feature of the FRAME, we explore the building process of the iconic and beautiful Aston Martin DB5 Goldfinger, featured throughout the movies of the legendary character James Bond.
Although investing is far noisier and uncertain than most card games, it is also an activity where understanding the odds is critical. While investors may feel uncomfortable talking about their decision making in probabilistic terms, it is inherent in everything we do – whether we are explicit about it or not. Much like assessing our…
Have you ever wondered why the traders who manage your funds fly around in private jets whilst you sit down at the back of the plane? Have you ever been confused as to how your fund can consistently underperform the market but the fund managers make more in a month than you could conceivably make…
Right market right time – in terms of the technical aspects of trading there is perhaps nothing more crucial to a trader than being in the right place at the right time. The best stock selection tools in the world will not save you from being stuck in a market that is going nowhere.
The dominance of US equities has been one of the most significant features of financial markets over the last decade. The sheer magnitude of outperformance makes it easy to claim that it has simply been a case of an in-vogue market enjoying a substantial and unsustainable valuation re-rating, but that’s not quite true. Although a…
Interestingly this post segues nicely from the previous one on Daniel Kahneman and the difficulties we have with thinking of the world rationally. Gold is the perfect exemplar of traders who cannot reason. The chart below is a daily chart of gold which shows that in the last month, gold has risen about 9.2%Its not…
Trading is a profession that taxes our ability to view problems rationally and in a probabilistic manner. Daniel Kahneman highlights this issue in his book Thinking, Fast and Slow. As expected the majority of poorly performing traders believe it is about having the right coloured lines on their charts of hanging off every pronouncement made…
There is endless chatter by traders as to the need for an edge but very rarely does anyone either explain what an edge actually is or put forward examples of how to build them. In this video I define what an edge is, give a real world example from an unrelated highly competitive arena, and…
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